14 Aug · 00:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1619
FormWLWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Tkocz
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1456
FormLLLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)