14 Aug · 00:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1509
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Delikatny
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1504
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Delikatny
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.