14 Aug · 01:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1619
FormWLWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Tkocz
AS
🇵🇱Aleksander Szydlo
ELO 1437
FormLWLWL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)