14 Aug · 02:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1490
FormLWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1615
FormWLWLW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H16-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-12)