14 Aug · 02:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1342
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Golaszewski
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1316
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+26
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.