14 Aug · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1613
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tkocz
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1549
FormWWWWW
57%
43%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H10-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)