14 Aug · 04:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1568
FormWWWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Lebek
AS
🇵🇱Aleksander Szydlo
ELO 1417
FormLLLLW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)