14 Aug · 06:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1477
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Solilo
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1481
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.