14 Aug · 06:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1508
FormLWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Urban
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1420
FormLWLLL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Idaczyk🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H3-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)