14 Aug · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1430
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Solilo
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1486
FormWWWLL
44%
56%
🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 84% (19)
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)