14 Aug · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1448
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sulkowski
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1390
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)