14 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1504
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Urban
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1443
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)