14 Aug · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1480
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1528
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H65-69
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)