14 Aug · 07:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1414
FormLLWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1536
FormLLWWW
37%
63%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+122
H2H11-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)