14 Aug · 08:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1425
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1528
FormWWLLW
39%
61%
🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 84% (19)
Fair odds · Minda
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H59-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (59-52)