14 Aug · 09:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1595
FormWWLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Balcerzak
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1483
FormLWWWW
62%
38%
🌟Balcerzak goes over total as favourite 75% (16)
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H13-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-1)