14 Aug · 10:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1443
FormWWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1560
FormLWWLL
37%
63%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H19-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-13)