14 Aug · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1454
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1511
FormLLLLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 48% · 2.10· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H5-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)