14 Aug · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1379
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Klocek
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1399
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.