14 Aug · 11:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1399
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lilien
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1478
FormWLWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)