14 Aug · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1379
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1466
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)