14 Aug · 11:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1450
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mleczko
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1428
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Linek🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 84% (19)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H12-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.