14 Aug · 19:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1795
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolodziej
KS
🇵🇱Karol Strowski
ELO 1780
FormWWWWW
52%
48%
🌟Strowski goes over total as underdog 64% (84)
Fair odds · Kolodziej
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H44-49
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.