14 Aug · 20:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1543
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Oracz
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1542
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Szostok covers set handicap as underdog 73% (30)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H17-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.