14 Aug · 19:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1543
FormLWWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Oracz
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1428
FormLLWLW
62%
38%
🌟Ruszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 66% (32)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)