14 Aug · 20:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1542
FormWLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Szostok
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1388
FormWWWLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~79 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+154
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)