14 Aug · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1543
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Oracz
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1469
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
🌟Oracz stays under total as favourite 63% (62)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)