14 Aug · 17:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1455
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Adamus
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1455
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 31% · 3.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.