14 Aug · 16:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1493
FormLLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Tobiasz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1393
FormLWLLW
61%
39%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (56)
Fair odds · Tobiasz
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)