14 Aug · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1389
FormLLWLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Polok
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1616
FormWWWWW
27%
73%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (56)
Fair odds · Polok
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+227
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+227)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)