14 Aug · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1452
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Tobiasz
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1497
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 94% (16)
Fair odds · Tobiasz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H7-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)