14 Aug · 19:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1440
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sokolowski
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1389
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kaczmarek🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (56)
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H2-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)