14 Aug · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1297
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Strus
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1257
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Strus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 7% (14)
Fair odds · Strus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.