14 Aug · 19:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1367
FormWLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Wiza
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1264
FormWLLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H89-67
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (89-67)