14 Aug · 20:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1367
FormWLLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Szymik
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1482
FormLLWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H111-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (111-31)