14 Aug · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1298
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skorski
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1360
FormLWWLL
43%
57%
🌟Fabis covers set handicap as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H51-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)