14 Aug · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1284
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1326
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strus🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H10-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)