14 Aug · 22:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1691
FormLWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Oracz
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1587
FormWLLLW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H17-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-7)