14 Aug · 21:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1480
FormLWLLW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Szymik
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1254
FormLLWLL
73%
27%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~74 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+226
H2H114-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+226)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (114-14)