14 Aug · 23:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1605
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krutak
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1587
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Krutak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.