14 Aug · 23:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1618
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pawlik
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1618
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.