15 Aug · 00:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1484
FormWLWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Szymik
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1328
FormWLLWW
67%
33%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+156
H2H22-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+156)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-17)