15 Aug · 00:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1429
FormWWLWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Wrzalik
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1250
FormLLLWL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Wrzalik
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+179
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)