15 Aug · 06:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1357
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wozniak
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1425
FormLWLLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Wozniak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H7-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)