15 Aug · 05:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DW
🇵🇱Damian Wasilewski
ELO 1473
FormLLWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Wasilewski
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1357
FormWLWLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Wasilewski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H8-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-0)