15 Aug · 06:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1484
FormWLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Szymik
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1369
FormLWWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H111-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (111-32)