15 Aug · 11:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1617
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Slawinski
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1604
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Slawinski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.