15 Aug · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1535
FormLWLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Witczak
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1387
FormLLWLL
66%
34%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+148
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)