15 Aug · 08:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1483
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Solilo
DW
🇵🇱Damian Wasilewski
ELO 1478
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.