15 Aug · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1387
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wrobel
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1331
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
🌟Wrobel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Wrobel
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 38% · 2.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H7-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)